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ORNL’s Salil Mahajan: Gaining perspective on climate variability with high-resolution modeling

Posted at 2:37 pm September 3, 2017
By Oak Ridge Today Staff Leave a Comment

Computational climate scientist Salil Mahajan simulates the complex and chaotic aspects of climate at Oak Ridge National Laboratory. (Photo by ORNL/U.S. Department of Energy)

Computational climate scientist Salil Mahajan simulates the complex and chaotic aspects of climate at Oak Ridge National Laboratory. (Photo by ORNL/U.S. Department of Energy)

 

By Ashley C. Huff, Oak Ridge National Laboratory

Simulating the global climate in high resolution at multiple scales will help answer questions about future global and regional climates. However, as performance expectations increase for Earth system models, so do computing challenges.

Salil Mahajan, a computational climate scientist in the Computational Earth Sciences group at the U.S. Department of Energy’s Oak Ridge National Laboratory, is tackling some of these challenges in high-performance computing for climate science.

Climate is a chaotic system. It includes complex interactions between the atmosphere, oceans, sea ice, and land.

“As we include more dynamic, coupled interactions among these spheres and incorporate more biological, chemical, and physical processes in our models, the computations become more complicated,” Mahajan said. “We have to take a step-by-step approach to understand cause and effect and ensure that our simulations are accurately representing our observational measurements.”

Model validation and verification are now the bread and butter of his daily routine. But Mahajan’s affinity for atmospheric science and computing architectures developed along a circuitous route.

From architecture to atmosphere [Read more…]

Filed Under: Front Page News, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Top Stories, U.S. Department of Energy Tagged With: Accelerated Climate Modeling for Energy, Ashley C. Huff, Atmospheric Radiation Measurement, CCSI, climate, Climate Change Science Institute, climate data, climate model, climate scientist, computational climate scientist, Computational Earth Sciences, DOE, Forrest Hoffman, global climate, global climate model, Oak Ridge Center for Advanced Studies, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, ORCAS, ORNL, Salil Mahajan, U.S. Department of Energy

Climate data: Knox County could have 20-80 more days above 95 by 2100

Posted at 11:20 pm June 8, 2017
By John Huotari Leave a Comment

By 2100, Knox County could have 20-80 more days when the maximum temperature is above 95 degrees Fahrenheit, according to climate data used by the City of Knoxville and developed with help from Oak Ridge National Laboratory and NOAA Climate Explorer.

By 2100, Knox County could have 20-80 more days when the maximum temperature is above 95 degrees Fahrenheit, according to climate data used by the City of Knoxville and developed with help from Oak Ridge National Laboratory and NOAA Climate Explorer.

 

By 2100, Knox County could have 20-80 more days when the maximum temperature is above 95 degrees Fahrenheit, according to climate data used by the City of Knoxville and developed with help from Oak Ridge National Laboratory.

The additional 20 days with a high over 95 is considered the best-case scenario. That would be almost three more weeks of high temperatures.

The 80 more days with a high over 95 would be a worst-case scenario. That would be close to three more months of high temperatures.

The higher and lower number of days appear to be correlated with, or caused by, higher and lower emissions.

There could be some variability in the temperature increases from year to year, but the overall trend would be up, according to the data, which used the NOAA Climate Explorer. (NOAA is the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.)

An animated image based on the data shows projected changes from 2011 to 2050 in an eight-county region, including Knox and Anderson. Overall, there would be a general increase in the number of days with a maximum temperature above 95 degree Fahrenheit, compared to a 1981-2005 average. There could be some variability by location, even between counties. You can the animated image here: ORNL Climate Data Summary Movie. (The movie moves quickly through the slides after the animation; you can find a PDF version of those slides in the link at the end of this article.) [Read more…]

Filed Under: Front Page News, Government, Knoxville, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Top Stories, U.S. Department of Energy, Weather Tagged With: City of Knoxville, climate change impacts, climate data, cooling degree days, Erin Gill, Federal Emergency Management Agency, FEMA, hazard mitigation planning, high temperatures, Knox County, maximum temperature, minimum temperature, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, NOAA Climate Explorer, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, ORNL, ORNL Climate Data Summary, precipitation data, precipitation days, precipitation levels, temperature increases

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Availability of the draft environmental assessment for off-site depleted uranium manufacturing (DOE/EA-2252)

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